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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
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IMD warns most of India to face above-normal maximum temperatures in November

GS1History · Society · Geography· Geophysical phenomena (earthquakes, cyclones, volcanoes)· Prelims·

Climate variability and ENSO impacts: a key GS1 Geography and GS3 Disaster Management topic.

Why in news

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) issued a forecast for November 2026 predicting above-normal maximum temperatures across most of India due to strong El Nino conditions.

Background

The IMD announced on October 31, 2026, that India is expected to receive 77% of the Long Period Average rainfall in November. The forecast is driven by very strong El Nino conditions in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean.

Facts for Prelims

  • FactIMD projected 77% of Long Period Average rainfall for India in November 2026
  • S&TEl Nino conditions in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean are linked to disrupted temperature and rainfall patterns in India
  • PostIndia Meteorological Department (IMD) is the agency responsible for weather forecasting in India

Prelims practice question

With reference to the IMD forecast for November 2026, consider the following statements:

  1. The IMD predicts above-normal maximum temperatures across most of India.
  2. The forecast is driven by weak El Nino conditions in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean.
  3. India is expected to receive 77% of the Long Period Average rainfall in November.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

  1. (a)1 only
  2. (b)2 only
  3. (c)1 and 3 only
  4. (d)1, 2 and 3
Show answer

Answer: (c) 1 and 3 only — Statements 1 and 3 are correct. Statement 2 is incorrect: The forecast is driven by very strong El Nino conditions.

For Mains

Q. Discuss how the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impacts India's monsoon patterns and suggest measures to mitigate the effects of extreme temperature fluctuations.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Climate vulnerability: Impact of El Nino on agricultural yields and water security
  • Infrastructure stress: Managing heatwaves and erratic rainfall during non-monsoon months

Keywords: El Nino · Long Period Average · Meteorological forecasting · Climate variability · Equatorial Pacific

Read the full news →Report a mistake in this noteHow notes are madeSource: The Hindu ↗Also: GS3 · Climate change & international agreements

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