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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
सत्याधीश
India's Ground Truth Record
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Kerala’s population projected to rise till 2041, then dip

GS1History · Society · Geography· Population, demography & migration· Prelims·

Why in news

IIMAD and PFI released a report projecting Kerala's population to rise until 2041 before declining, highlighting its status as India's oldest state.

Background

The report by IIMAD and PFI projects Kerala's population to reach 3.55 crore by 2051. It predicts the percentage of people aged 60 and above will rise from 18.6% in 2026 to 30.6% by 2051.

Facts for Prelims

  • FactKerala's projected population by 2051: 3.55 crore
  • FactProjected percentage of people aged 60+ in Kerala by 2051: 30.6%
  • FactProjected percentage of people aged 60+ in Kerala in 2026: 18.6%
  • PlaceKerala is projected to remain India's oldest state through 2041

For Mains

Q. Discuss the socio-economic implications of an aging population profile in states like Kerala and suggest policy measures to address the rising geriatric dependency ratio.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Fiscal pressure: Increasing demand for geriatric healthcare and pension sustainability
  • Labor shortage: Potential contraction of the active workforce due to demographic shift
  • Social infrastructure: Need for specialized elderly-friendly housing and community support systems

Keywords: demographic transition · geriatric care · dependency ratio · population projection · socio-economic impact

Read the full news →Report a mistake in this noteHow notes are madeSource: The Hindu ↗Also: GS1 · Places in news / mapping

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