What's Delaying Monsoon? Scientists Point To Indian Ocean, El Nino
GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Nuclear & new energy technology· Prelims + Mains·
Why in news
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predicted an 80 percent probability of El Nino during June-August 2026, which scientists link to delayed monsoon rains in regions like Kerala.
Background
The Indian Ocean is experiencing unusually weak weather activity with large areas of clear skies south of India. The WMO predicts El Nino may reach moderate to strong intensity during the June-August 2026 period.
Facts for Prelims
- FactWMO: Predicted 80 percent probability of El Nino during June-August 2026.
- PlaceKerala: Region experiencing delayed rains due to reduced rain systems over the Indian Ocean.
For Mains
Q. Analyze how the increasing frequency of El Nino events poses a threat to India's food security and suggest measures for climate-resilient agriculture.
Dimensions to cover in your answer
- Agricultural vulnerability: Impact of erratic monsoon patterns on traditional cropping cycles and seed viability
- Water management: Need for moisture conservation and alternative crop planning to mitigate rainfall deficits
- Meteorological monitoring: Importance of early warning systems for proactive farmer intervention
Keywords: Climate Resilience · Monsoon Variability · Food Security · Agro-meteorology · Water Management
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