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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
सत्याधीश
India's Ground Truth Record
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Abolishing long-term capital gains tax could cost government ₹40,000–50,000 crore: SBI Research

GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Fiscal policy, budget & taxation (GST)· Mains·

Fiscal policy and market dynamics: a relevant GS3 case study on taxation and capital flows.

Why in news

SBI Research released a report estimating a revenue loss of ₹40,000–50,000 crore if the government abolishes long-term capital gains tax.

Background

SBI Research highlights that current projections are affected by weaker market returns and ₹4.8 lakh crore in cumulative FII outflows. The report suggests raising the exemption threshold to ₹2 lakh and introducing a tiered tax structure based on holding periods.

Facts for Prelims

  • FactSBI Research estimates a revenue loss of ₹40,000–50,000 crore from abolishing long-term capital gains tax.
  • FactCumulative FII outflows reached ₹4.8 lakh crore according to the report.
  • FactProposed exemption threshold for capital gains is ₹2 lakh.

Prelims practice question

What is the cumulative amount of FII outflows mentioned in the SBI Research report?

  1. (a)₹6.2 lakh crore
  2. (b)₹1.8 lakh crore
  3. (c)₹4.8 lakh crore
  4. (d)₹2.5 lakh crore
Show answer

Answer: (c) ₹4.8 lakh crore — The report notes that cumulative FII outflows reached ₹4.8 lakh crore.

For Mains

Q. Discuss the fiscal implications and market dynamics of altering long-term capital gains tax structures in India's evolving capital market.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Revenue volatility: Balancing fiscal deficit targets with the need to incentivize long-term domestic investment
  • Market liquidity: Impact of FII outflows on domestic capital formation and market stability
  • Tax equity: Trade-offs between high-threshold exemptions and progressive tiered taxation for retail investors

Keywords: Fiscal deficit · Capital gains tax · FII outflows · Market liquidity · Taxation policy

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