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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
सत्याधीश
India's Ground Truth Record
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IMF, ADB and World Bank raise India growth forecasts above 7%

GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Growth, inflation & macro indicators· Prelims·

Economic resilience and GDP growth trends: a key GS3 indicator for Indian macroeconomics.

Why in news

The IMF, ADB, and World Bank have raised India's GDP growth forecasts to above 7% for the current and next year, reflecting economic resilience.

Background

India's GDP grew from $1 trillion in 2007 to nearly $4 trillion. The average GDP growth between 2021 and 2025 was 7.83%, the second-highest five-year average since 1960.

Facts for Prelims

  • FactIMF, ADB, and World Bank have raised India's growth forecasts above 7% for this year and next.
  • FactRBI hiked its growth estimate to 7.1%.
  • FactIndia's economy contracted by 5.8% during the pandemic and rebounded by 9.7% in 2021.
  • FactIndia's GDP was nearly $4 trillion as of 2026.

Prelims practice question

What was the average GDP growth rate for India between 2021 and 2025?

  1. (a)7.83%
  2. (b)9.25%
  3. (c)8.12%
  4. (d)6.50%
Show answer

Answer: (a) 7.83% — The note states the average GDP growth between 2021 and 2025 was 7.83%.

For Mains

Q. Analyze the factors contributing to India's sustained GDP growth above 7% and the implications of its rising economic scale on global trade dynamics.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Resilience factor: Rapid recovery from pandemic-induced supply chain disruptions and 5.8% contraction.
  • Scale transition: Shift from a $1 trillion economy in 2007 to a nearly $4 trillion economy.
  • Comparative trajectory: Alignment with the 2003-2007 BRIC-era growth streak.

Keywords: GDP growth · economic resilience · forecast · BRIC · macroeconomic indicators

Read the full news →Report a mistake in this noteHow notes are madeSource: NDTV ↗Also: GS2 · Policies of other countries affecting India

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