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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
सत्याधीश
India's Ground Truth Record
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Northeast monsoon likely normal after 20% Southwest monsoon deficit, IMD Director-General says

GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Climate change & international agreements· Prelims·

Monsoon variability and hydrological stress: a key GS3 Environment and Agriculture case study.

Why in news

IMD Director-General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra announced that the Northeast monsoon is likely to be normal despite a 20% Southwest monsoon deficit.

Background

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) reported a 20% deficit in the Southwest monsoon. While coastal Tamil Nadu expects normal to above-normal rainfall from the third week of October, north interior districts may see below-average rainfall.

Facts for Prelims

  • FactSouthwest monsoon deficit: 20% as reported by IMD
  • PlaceCoastal Tamil Nadu: Expected normal to above-normal rainfall from third week of October
  • PlaceNorth interior districts: Expected below-average rainfall
  • PostMrutyunjay Mohapatra: Director-General of the India Meteorological Department (IMD)

Prelims practice question

With reference to the Northeast monsoon and rainfall patterns in India, consider the following statements:

  1. Coastal Tamil Nadu is expected to receive below-average rainfall from the third week of October.
  2. The India Meteorological Department reported a 20% deficit in the Southwest monsoon.
  3. North interior districts are expected to see below-average rainfall during the Northeast monsoon.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

  1. (a)2 only
  2. (b)3 only
  3. (c)1 and 3 only
  4. (d)2 and 3 only
Show answer

Answer: (d) 2 and 3 only — Statements 2 and 3 are correct. Statement 1 is incorrect: Coastal Tamil Nadu expects normal to above-normal rainfall.

For Mains

Q. Discuss the impact of monsoon variability on India's agricultural productivity and the role of IMD in disaster risk reduction.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Hydrological imbalance: Impact of Southwest monsoon deficit on groundwater recharge and reservoir levels
  • Agricultural risk: Vulnerability of rain-fed crops in north interior districts to below-average rainfall
  • Predictive accuracy: Challenges in forecasting localized rainfall patterns during monsoon transitions

Keywords: monsoon variability · hydrological cycle · agricultural resilience · meteorological forecasting · climate adaptation

Read the full news →Report a mistake in this noteHow notes are madeSource: The Hindu ↗Also: GS1 · Geophysical phenomena (earthquakes, cyclones, volcanoes)Also: GS3 · Cropping patterns & irrigation

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