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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
सत्याधीश
India's Ground Truth Record
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India to become "super-aged" by 2065 as fertility rate hits 1.9

GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Growth, inflation & macro indicators· Mains·

Demographic transition and aging population: a critical GS3 and Ethics case study on dependency ratios.

Why in news

A Moody's report and an EAC-PM paper highlight India's transition to a 'super-aged' society by 2065 due to a fertility rate of 1.9, posing a risk of aging before becoming rich.

Background

India entered the 'ageing' category around 2024 and is projected to become 'super-aged' by 2065. The current fertility rate is 1.9, with annual births dropping to 2.32 crore.

Facts for Prelims

  • FactIndia's current fertility rate is 1.9 (1.6 excluding Bihar and Uttar Pradesh).
  • FactIndia is projected to become 'aged' by 2049 and 'super-aged' by 2065.
  • FactAnnual births in India have dropped to 2.32 crore.
  • FactIndia's current female labor force participation is 32 per cent.

Prelims practice question

With reference to India's demographic transition, consider the following statements:

  1. The current fertility rate in India is 1.6 including Bihar and Uttar Pradesh.
  2. India entered the ageing category around the year 2024.
  3. India is projected to become a super-aged society by the year 2065.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

  1. (a)1 only
  2. (b)2 only
  3. (c)1 and 2 only
  4. (d)2 and 3 only
Show answer

Answer: (d) 2 and 3 only — Statements 2 and 3 are correct. Statement 1 is incorrect: The fertility rate is 1.6 excluding Bihar and Uttar Pradesh.

For Mains

Q. Discuss the economic implications of India becoming a 'super-aged' society before achieving high-income status and suggest measures to mitigate the shrinking working-age population.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Demographic dividend reversal: Shrinking working-age population vs rising dependency ratio of the elderly.
  • Labor market constraints: Low female labor participation (32%) hindering productivity to offset rising geriatric costs.
  • Longevity-led growth: Shift from birth-led population growth to longevity-sustained growth requiring healthcare infrastructure.

Keywords: Demographic Transition · Fertility Rate · Dependency Ratio · Super-aged Society · Female Labor Force Participation

Read the full news →Source: NDTV ↗Also: GS1 · Population, demography & migration

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This note is generated automatically from SatyaDheesh's news feed and mapped to the UPSC CSE syllabus. Check facts against the original report or PIB before using them in an answer.