
Why western diplomats are wary of predicting end days for Iran’s regime | Iran
Western diplomats are adopting a cautious approach, recalling past failures to predict regime changes in Iran. Academic experts on Iran suggest the current protests lack widespread defections and are not yet a national movement. However, there is growing evidence of internal power struggles within the Iranian government, with the Supreme Leader, IRGC, and judiciary all playing significant roles. The crackdown on protesters has escalated significantly, leading to concerns about the regime's ability to maintain control.
9 JAN 2026
— Times of India
Protests in Iran, sparked by currency crash and inflation, escalated as the government tightened security measures and the Supreme Leader appointed a senior IRGC commander.
13 JAN 2026
— The Guardian
Iran's nationwide protests, fueled by economic hardship, civil rights concerns, and political repression, have resulted in at least 648 deaths according to a researcher.
14 JAN 2026
· THIS STORY — The Guardian
Western diplomats are adjusting their predictions of Iran's regime change based on the lack of widespread defections in the current protests.
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