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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
सत्याधीश
India's Ground Truth Record
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Strong growth and subdued inflation keep India in sweet spot: Aurodeep Nandi

GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Growth, inflation & macro indicators· Prelims·

Why in news

Nomura predicted India's GDP growth to be 7.5% in FY26 and 7.1% in FY27 with inflation around 4% due to easing trade disruptions and sustained capital expenditure.

Background

Nomura predicts a GDP growth of 7.5% for FY26 and 7.1% for FY27. The RBI is expected to maintain its current policy stance of no rate cuts due to a resilient economy and low inflation.

Facts for Prelims

  • FactNomura's projected GDP growth for FY26 is 7.5%.
  • FactNomura's projected GDP growth for FY27 is 7.1%.
  • FactNomura projects inflation to remain around 4%.
  • FactThe rupee is projected to remain around 90 by year-end.

For Mains

Q. Discuss the factors contributing to India's resilient economic growth and the role of state-led capital expenditure in sustaining this momentum.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Fiscal multiplier: Impact of sustained state-level capital expenditure on private sector demand
  • Monetary-fiscal coordination: Balancing RBI's stance on interest rates with inflation-targeting goals
  • External vulnerability: Risks posed by geopolitical tensions and oil price fluctuations on domestic inflation

Keywords: GDP growth · inflation targeting · capital expenditure · monetary policy · trade disruptions

Read the full news →Report a mistake in this noteSource: Economic Times ↗

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