Kerala Assembly elections 2026: Who will win the minority vote pie?

Kerala's Assembly elections are being closely watched due to the significant influence of minority voters. The Congress, traditionally associated with the IUML, is seeking to maintain its support among Muslims, while the CPI(M) faces challenges from disenchantment within the Muslim community over perceived alliances and stances on issues like Vellappalli Natesan's remarks. The BJP is also attempting to secure the Christian vote, recognizing their importance in electoral outcomes. The Samastha Kerala Jamiyyathul Ulama, a prominent Islamic organization, has traditionally supported the UDF, while smaller groups such as the SDPI and PDP are expected to support the LDF. The Christian electorate remains fragmented but is crucial for electoral success.